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The Streetlight Effect in Data-Driven Exploration

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NBER2024-05-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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We study exploration under uncertainty and show how access to data on past attempts can paradoxically hinder breakthrough discovery. We develop a model of the streetlight effect demonstrating that when data highlights attractive but ultimately suboptimal projects, it can narrow exploration and

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2024-05-01
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