Replication Data for: Citizen Forecasts of the 2021 German Election

Systematic methods of forecasting elections vary and include reliance on polls, models, and markets. For the German case, most of the work has utilized models or polls. With respect to the use of polls, those efforts have focused almost exclusively on voter intention polling. Here we turn to voter expectation polling, i.e., citizen forecasting, to predict the upcoming 2021 German election. The analysis, based on national public opinion survey data from 1983 on, appears promising.