Falls Lake Agent-based Model Critical Transitions Dataset

Data files are provided here. They are output from the Falls Lake ABM at https://github.com/maskarb/FallsLakeABM. Four management scenarios are simulated for 16 shifting climate scenarios. Management Scenario 1 is no management. Management Scenario 2 is retrofitting. Management Scenario 3 is retrofitting with light drought restrictions. Management Scenario 4 is retrofitting with severe drought restrictions. The 16 shifting climate scenarios correspond to shifting factors equal to 0.25 - 1.0, increasing in 0.05 increments. For each of the 64 settings (16 climate settings X 4 management scenarios), 100 simulations were run to capture stochasticity.

Files in Results-mgmt-x folders show the agent-based modeling results for each simulation.  Data files (for example, res-mgmt-1-s-0.25-5.txt) describe the storage and deficit for each of the simulations in million cubic meters, reported at a monthly timestep. Columns 5-9, inflow, storage, outflow, totalWaterSupply,  waterSupply, report monthly flows. 

Files in EWS-mgmt-X-window-25 shows the value of each early warning signals indicator calculated for log-transformed reservoir storage for each of 100 simulations, for management strategies 1-4 and shifting factors.  Winsize is set at 25%, which means that EWS indicators are not calculated until time step 300, or 25% of 1200 time steps.