Viral kinetics and transmission events description and predicted from viral kinetic model coupled to the Bayesian logistic regression prediction.

For quantitative variables: mean ±se [range], for qualitative variables: number or percentage. Dpi stands for days post inoculation and dpc for days post contact. Predictions: 100 replicates of 11 pigs datasets: average of replicates mean, {5th-95th percentiles of replicates mean}—Not observed; * estimated for 21 donors; ** estimated for the 11 donors in contact with recipients; £: estimated for 41 infected recipients.† fixed in the model.