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"Superstitious" Investors

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NBER2019-03-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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We consider an economy in which investors believe dividend growth is predictable, when in reality it is not. We show that these beliefs lead to excess volatility and return predictability. We also show that these beliefs are rational in the face of evidence on dividend growth. We apply this

创建时间:
2019-03-01
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