Western North Pacific tropical cyclone tracks in CMIP5 models: Statistical assessment using a model-independent detection and tracking scheme Journal of Climate

Past studies have shown that tropical cyclone (TC) projection results can be sensitive to different types of TC tracking schemes, and that the relative adjustments of detection criteria to accommodate different models may not necessarily provide a consistent platform for comparison of projection results. Here, future climate projections of TC activity in the western North Pacific basin (WNP, defined from 0°–50°N and 100°E–180°) are assessed with a model-independent detection and tracking scheme. This scheme is applied to models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) forced under the historical and representative concentration pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) conditions. Grant no. NA15OAR4310095 Grant no. NA16OAR4310079 Grant no. NA18OAR4310277