Datasets used for "Heat Pump - Heating Electrification and Climate Change - Grid Impact Studies"

Summary

In this work, we explore long term patterns in electricity demand driven by the dual effects of space heating electrification and climate change. We use an open source nodal power system model of the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) system to investigate a wide range of future climate and technology scenarios that evolve over time, and report results in terms of market prices, reliability and corresponding relative capacity requirements                              

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The technical analysis aimed to:

1) Understand the Long-Term Patterns:

We aim to analyze patterns in peak load, total load, loss of load, and the seasonality of these phenomena, driven by widespread heat pump adoption alongside climate change.

2) Use Extensive Scenario Analysis:

Explore a wide range of future scenarios, including variations in climate pathways, to capture the uncertainty associated with these long-term changes. In total, 1280 simulation years.

3) Use a validated open source DC OPF model(reproducibility)

Use an open-source nodal power system model of the ERCOT system to simulate and understand the potential impacts on market prices, reliability, and relative capacity requirements. Similar models are available for all interconnections of the conterminous US.

4) Assess Grid Vulnerability:

Assess the vulnerability of the grid to these simultaneous changes, identify potential vulnerability.

5) Provide Insights for System Planners:

Offer results that can assist long-term system planners in anticipating and preparing for potential shifts in grid reliability.