Challenging the established order: innovating clinical trials for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

Development of effective treatment for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) has been hampered by disease heterogeneity,a limited understanding of underlying pathophysiology and methodological design challenges. Here we have evaluated two major themes in the design of pivotal, phase 3 clinical trials for ALS: (1) patient selection and (2) analytical strategy, and discussed potential solutions with the European Medicines Agency (EMA). Several design considerations were assessed using data from five placebo-controlled clinical trials (N = 988), four population-based cohorts (N = 5,100), and 2,436 placebo-allocated patients from the PRO-ACT database. The validity of each proposed design modification was confirmed by means of simulation and illustrated for a hypothetical setting. Compared to classical trial design, the proposed design modifications reduce the sample size by 30.5% and placebo exposure time by 35.4%. By making use of prognostic survival models, one creates a potential to includ...