Sensitivity analysis for assumptions about density dependence in transmission and permanent effects of ivermectin on adult worms.

The results presented here are based on a setting where the pre-control community microfilarial load is 30 microfilariae per skin snip.* Numbers in parentheses represent differences relative to the strategy of continuing mass treatment annually at 65% coverage.** The probability of elimination was less than 99% within the scope of the simulations (maximum 20 future treatment rounds).*** Permanent effects of ivermectin on adult worms were assumed to be either a factor 2/3 lower or a factor 3/2 higher (see Table 2 for details).Sensitivity analysis for assumptions about density dependence in transmission and permanent effects of ivermectin on adult worms.