Performance of dengue incidence prediction models from different time horizons, for the time period between January 2011 and July 2016, in the city of Barra Mansa, State of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Each time horizon is examined across all four possible features sets: autoregressive terms alone (AR), autoregressive terms together with Google Trends data (AR+GT) and with weather data (AR+GT+W), as well as google trends data alone (GT). Numbers in bold represent the best performance for a given model and autoregressive lag across each of the metrics. This corresponds to the lowest value for the RMSE and relative RMSE metrics, and the highest value for the R^2 and Pearson correlation metrics.