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Replication Data for: Partisan Communication in Two-Stage Elections: The Effect of Primaries on Intra-Campaign Positional Shifts in Congressional Elections

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NIAID Data Ecosystem2026-05-01 收录
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The influence of congressional primary elections on candidate positioning remains disputed and poorly understood. We test whether candidates communicate artificially ‘extreme’ positions during the nomination, as revealed by moderation following a primary defeat. We apply a scaling method based on candidates’ language on Twitter to estimate positions of 988 candidates in contested U.S. House of Representatives primaries in 2020 over time, demonstrating validity against NOMINATE (r > 0.93) where possible. Losing Democratic candidates moderated significantly after their primary defeat, indicating strategic position-taking for perceived electoral benefit, where the nomination contest induced artificially ‘extreme’ communication. We find no such effect among Republicans. These findings have implications for candidate strategy in two-stage elections and provide further evidence of elite partisan asymmetry.

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2023-12-06
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