Deviances.

Listed are Poisson deviances for the models that we fitted to each of 2043 single year age-period strata for the 4 populations studied. This Table shows that, with the exception of males, the regularized FD model is preferable to the saturated Poisson model. The saturated model has p-values of 0.034 and 0.07 for black males and white males, respectively. Thus, the FD model cannot be soundly rejected on statistical grounds. The table also confirms that there is generally little difference in the deviances between non-FD (stem cell independence) and FD models. (XLSX)