EHR readmission risk model in OPAT patients

<strong>Objective:</strong> The primary aim of this study is to determine the ability of the electronic health record-embedded EPIC Unplanned Readmission Model 1 to predict all-cause 30-day hospital unplanned readmissions in discharged patients receiving OPAT through the Duke University Heath System (DUHS) OPAT program. We then explored the impact of OPAT-specific variables on model performance. <strong>Methods:</strong> This retrospective cohort study included patients &gt; 18 years of age discharged to home or skilled nursing facility between July 1, 2019 - February 1, 2020 with OPAT care initiated inpatient and coordinated by the DUHS OPAT program and with at least one Epic readmission score during the index hospitalization. Those with a planned duration of OPAT &lt; 7 days, receiving OPAT administered in a long-term acute care facility (LTAC), or ongoing renal replacement therapy were excluded. The relationship between the primary outcome (unplanned readmission during 30-day post-index discharge) and Epic readmission scores during the index admission (discharge and maximum) was examined using multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for additional predictors. The performance of the models was assessed with the scaled Brier score for overall model performance, the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (C-index) for discrimination ability, calibration plot for calibration, and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test for model fit. Files include the de-identified dataset and a data dictionary.