Replication Data for: Forecasting the 2020 Electoral College Winner: The State Presidential Approval/State Economy Model

Name: Replication Data for: Forecasting the 2020 Electoral College Winner: The State Presidential Approval/State Economy Model
Creator: Cornell University
Published: 2020-01-01T00:00:00+08:00

Harvard Dataverse2020-08-27 更新2026-04-09 收录

预测模型

经济指标与选举关联

数据链接：

https://dataverse.harvard.edu/citation?persistentId=doi:10.7910/DVN/ADMBN9 数据链接链接失效反馈

官方服务：

资源简介：

To forecast the 2020 Electoral College winner, we develop a model of two-party Democratic vote share in each state (plus Washington DC) based primarily on each state's presidential approval ratings and economic conditions. 104 days before the election, our model forecasts about a 4 in 10 chance that Donald Trump is re-elected and about a 6 in 10 chance that Joe Biden is the next president.

提供机构：

Cornell University

创建时间：

2020-01-01