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A New Way of Forecasting Recessions

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NBER2022-07-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w30247
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This paper proposes a new way of displaying and analyzing macroeconomic time series to form recession forecasts. The proposed data displays contain the last three years of each expansion. These allow observers to see for themselves what is different about the last year before recession. Based on a
创建时间:
2022-07-01
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