The legacy of large regime shifts in shallow lakes

Ecological shifts in shallow lakes from clear-water macrophyte-dominated to turbid-water phytoplankton-dominated are generally thought of as rapid short-term transitions. Diatom remains in sediment records from shallow lakes in the Prairie Pothole Region of North America provide new evidence that the long-term ecological stability of these lakes is defined by the legacy of large regime shifts. Here we examine the modern and historical stability of eleven shallow lakes. Currently, four of the lakes are in a clear-water state, three are consistently turbid-water, and four have been observed to change state from year to year (transitional). Lake sediment records spanning the past 150-200 years suggest that: 1) the diatom assemblage is characteristic of either clear or turbid lakes; 2) prior to significant landscape alteration, all of the lakes existed in a regime of a stable clear-water state; 3) lakes that are currently classified as turbid or transitional have experienced one strong regi...