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Relating West Antarctic Ice Cores to Climate with Artificial Neural Networks

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This NSF funded proposal focused on three areas: (1) filling gaps in and extending the length of automatic weather station (AWS) records using an objective technique based on feed-forward artificial neural networks (FF-ANNs) and atmospheric reanalysis data from ECMWF (ERA-15); (2) extracting generalized circulation patterns from ERA-15 annual fields using self-organizing maps; (3) relating ice core data to the patterns found in (2) using FF-ANNs so as to reconstruct past circulation from ice core data. Part 1 resulted in complete 15-year records (merged observations and FF-ANN-based predictions) at 6-hourly resolution for these six AWS for 1979-1993: Siple Station, Byrd, Lettau, Elaine, Marilyn and Ferrell. As these datasets are a synthesis of previously existing observations (available from the University of Wisconsin, http://uwamrc.ssec.wisc.edu/) and model-based predictions they are not posted here (but they are available from the author on request). Similarly, parts 2 and 3 produced new analyses of existing model data (ERA-15). These results are also available on request (pending publication). Part 1 has been published in: Reusch, D.B. and R.B. Alley, Automatic weather stations and artificial neural networks: Improving the instrumental record in West Antarctica. Monthly Weather Review. 130(12), 2002, 3037-3053. Reusch, D.B., and R.B. Alley, A 15-Year West Antarctic Climatology from Six Automatic-Weather-Station Temperature and Pressure Records, Journal of Geophysical Research. 109, 2004, doi: 10.1029/2003JD004178. Parts 2 and 3 are in review: Reusch, D.B., B.C. Hewitson and R.B. Alley, Towards Ice Core-based Synoptic Reconstructions of West Antarctic Climate with Artificial Neural Networks, International Journal of Climate.
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