The effectiveness of the household-based strategy, with different number of teams, treatment radii, and household test aims (HTA).

A strategy’s effectiveness is judged by its control probability, the proportion of simulations in which mf prevalence decreased between 2030 and 2035. Treatments are the average number of treatments administered over the duration of the strategy and do not include treatment numbers from the prior MDA rounds in 2018, 2019, and 2021. The uncertainty in the control probabilities is quantified with a 95% credible interval.