LuccME Nexus sustainable land use and land cover change scenarios for Brazil 2050

Based on two alternative sustainable narratives (more information: https://zenodo.org/doi/10.5281/zenodo.10154263), we created quantitative land use and land cover change scenarios representing the evolution of land use change until 2050. These scenarios were developed using the LuccME spatially explicit modeling framework (www.luccme.ccst.inpe.br). The analysis also included the quantification of a scenario based on current trends. Our model considers the following land use classes: the percentage of natural forest vegetation (forve), natural non-forest vegetation (couve), planted pasture (pastm), agriculture (agric), planted forest (silvi), and multiple-use mosaic (mosai) (used as a proxy for small-scale family farming). Calibration and validation period: 2012-2020 Simulation: 2020-2050 Data usage It's free to use, but make sure to cite the repository. More information For additional information about the scenario, please contact Ana Paula Aguiar ([e-mail]). Acknowledgments The authors would like to thank the NEXUS Project, funded by the São Paulo Research Foundation – FAPESP (2022/05856-0 and 2017/22269-2). Archives The following archives are available. LUCCMEBR_land_cover_type_10km2_epsg5880_2012-2020.zip: Percentage of land use and land cover from 2012 to 2020 (observed). LUCCME_NEXUS_Historical_Trend_land_cover_type_100km2_2020_2050.zip: Area in hectares of land use and land cover from 2021 to 2050 (simulated). LUCCME_NEXUS_Green_Transition_land_cover_type_100km2_2020_2050.zip: Area in hectares of land use and land cover from 2021 to 2050 (simulated). LUCCME_NEXUS_ Lives_in_Balance_land_cover_type_100km2_2020_2050.zip: Area in hectares of land use and land cover from 2021 to 2050 (simulated). LUCCME_NEXUS_Historical_Trend_increment_land_cover_type_10km2_epsg5880_2021_2050.zip: Increment of area in hectares of land use and land cover from 2021 to 2050 (simulated). LUCCME_NEXUS_Green_Transition_increment_land_and_cover_type_10km2_epsg5880_2021_2050.zip: Increment of area in hectares of land use and land cover from 2021 to 2050 (simulated). LUCCME_NEXUS_ Lives_in_Balance_increment_land_cover_type_10km2_epsg5880_2021_2050.zip: Increment of area in hectares of land use and land cover from 2021 to 2050 (simulated).