Using Out-of-Sample Mean Squared Prediction Errors to Test the Martingale Difference
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https://www.nber.org/papers/t0305
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We consider using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors (MSPEs) to evaluate the null that a given series follows a zero mean martingale difference against the alternative that it is linearly predictable. Under the null of no predictability, the population MSPE of the null "no change" model
提供机构:
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间:
2005-01-01



