Prediction Markets
收藏NBER2004-05-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
下载链接：
https://www.nber.org/papers/w10504
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资源简介：
We analyze the extent to which simple markets can be used to aggregate disperse information into efficient forecasts of uncertain future events. Drawing together data from a range of prediction contexts, we show that market-generated forecasts are typically fairly accurate, and that they outperform
提供机构：
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间：
2004-05-01
