Household projections, 1991-2037 (1000s), England, District, Population

This data contains household 2012 based population projections by district.

The methodology for the 2012-based household projections was based upon the ‘2011-based interim’ and ‘2008-based’ household projections. A description is provided in the Methodology Document. The methodology uses the latest ONS sub-national population projections and incorporates information from the Census 2011 on household population and numbers down to local authority level and some data on household formation rates at a national level. Further work will investigate including detailed analysis of household formation down to local authority level. In the meantime, these projections provide the most up to date and nationally consistent estimates.

As with the previous projections, the methodology is split into two stages: Stage One produces summary household numbers based on long-term demographic trends and Stage Two gives a more detailed breakdown of household type. This release presents results from Stage One only, with Stage Two outputs to follow as soon as possible.

The assumptions underlying national household and population projections are based on demographic trends. They are not forecasts as, for example, they do not attempt to predict the impact of future Government policies, changing economic circumstances or other factors that might have influence household growth. The projections show the household numbers that would result if the assumptions based in previous demographic trends in the population and rates of household formation were to be realised in practice.

This data was derived from published live tables available for download as an [Excel spreadsheet](https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/407641/Household_Projections_Published_Tables.ods).

本数据集包含基于2012年人口预测的按地区划分的家庭人口预测。2012年家庭预测的方法基于‘基于2011年的临时预测’和‘基于2008年的预测’。具体方法描述见《方法学文档》。该方法采用了最新的国家统计局地方人口预测，并整合了2011年人口普查中关于家庭人口和数量直至地方当局级别以及一些关于全国层面的家庭形成率的数据。进一步工作将研究包括直至地方当局级别的家庭形成详细分析。在此期间，这些预测提供了最及时且全国范围内一致的人口预测估计。与之前的预测一样，该方法分为两个阶段：第一阶段基于长期人口趋势生成家庭数量概览，第二阶段提供更详细的家庭类型分解。本次发布仅呈现第一阶段的结果，第二阶段输出将尽快推出。国家家庭和人口预测的潜在假设基于人口趋势。它们并非预测，例如，它们不试图预测未来政府政策、经济环境变化或其他可能影响家庭增长的因素的影响。预测显示了如果基于先前人口和家庭形成率的趋势在实践中得到实现，将会产生的家庭数量。该数据来源于可下载的已发布活页表格，格式为[Excel电子表格](https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/407641/Household_Projections_Published_Tables.ods)。