Data for: Growing faster, longer or both? Modelling plastic response of Juniperus communis growth phenology to climate change

Aim: Plant growth and phenology plastically respond to changing climatic
conditions both in space and time. Species-specific levels of growth
plasticity determine biogeographical patterns and the adaptive capacity of
species to climate change. However, a direct assessment of spatial and
temporal variability in radial-growth dynamics is complicated, as long
records of cambial phenology do not exist. Location: 16 sites across
European distribution margins of Juniperus communis L. (the Mediterranean,
the Arctic, the Alps and the Urals). Time period: 1940-2016 Major taxa
studied: Juniperus communis Methods: We applied the Vaganov-Shashkin
process-based model of wood formation to estimate trends in growing season
duration and growth kinetics since 1940. We assumed that J. communis would
exhibit spatially and temporally variable growth patterns reflecting local
climatic conditions. Results: Our simulations indicate regional
differences in growth dynamics and plastic responses to climate warming.
Mean growing season duration is the longest at Mediterranean sites and,
recently, there is a significant trend towards its extension of up to 0.44
days per year. However, this stimulating effect of longer growing season
is counteracted by declining summer growth rates caused by amplified
drought stress. Consequently, overall trends in simulated ring-widths are
marginal in the Mediterranean. By contrast, durations of growing seasons
in the Arctic show lower and mostly non-significant trends. However,
spring and summer growth rates follow increasing temperatures, leading to
a growth increase of up to 0.32 % per year. Main conclusions: This study
highlights the plasticity in growth phenology of widely distributed shrubs
to climate warming–an earlier onset of cambial activity that offsets the
negative effects of summer droughts in the Mediterranean and, conversely,
an intensification of growth rates during the short growing seasons in the
Arctic. Such plastic growth responsiveness allows woody plants to adapt to
the local pace of climate change.