Cases per generation estimated using mathematical modelling, under varying numbers of beds in the Ebola Management Centre (EMC), and varying levels of surveillance and contact tracing.

Scenario A: Surveillance activities detect 35% of cases in the community. Scenario B: Surveillance activities detect 83% of cases in the community. Scenario C: Surveillance activities detect 83% of cases in the community, and cases epidemiologically linked to a previously identified case are admitted earlier to the EMC.