Inference of adaptive shifts for multivariate correlated traits

To study the evolution of several quantitative traits, the classical phylogenetic comparative framework consists of a multivariate random process running along the branches of a phylogenetic tree. The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process is sometimes preferred to the simple Brownian Motion (BM) as it models stabilizing selection toward an optimum. The optimum for each trait is likely to be changing over the long periods of time spanned by large modern phylogenies. Our goal is to automatically detect the position of these shifts on a phylogenetic tree, while accounting for correlations between traits, which might exist because of structural or evolutionary constraints. We show that, in the presence shifts, phylogenetic Principal Component Analysis (pPCA) fails to decorrelate traits efficiently, so that any method aiming at finding shift needs to deal with correlation simultaneously. We introduce here a simplification of the full multivariate OU model, named scalar OU (scOU), which allows for ...