Ecological and anthropogenic drivers of local extinction and colonization of giant pandas over the past 30 years

Understanding the patterns and drivers of species range shifts is essential to disentangle mechanisms driving species’ responses to global change. Here, we quantified local extinction and colonization dynamics of giant pandas (Ailuropoda melanoleuca) using occurrence data collected by harnessing the labor of >1,000 workers and >60,000 worker days for each of the three periods (TP1: 1985-1988, TP2: 1998-2002, and TP3: 2011-2014), and evaluated how these patterns were associated with (1) protected area, (2) local rarity/abundance, and (3) abiotic factors (i.e., climate, land-use and topography). We documented a decreased rate (from 0.433 during TP1-TP2 to 0.317 during TP2-TP3) of local extinction and a relatively stable rate (from 0.060 during TP1-TP2 to 0.056 during TP2-TP3) of local colonization through time. Furthermore, the occupancy gains have exceeded losses by a ratio of approximately 1.5 to 1, illustrating an expanding of panda’s range at a rate of 1408.3 km2/decade. We also..., , , # Data from: Ecological and anthropogenic drivers of local extinction and colonization of giant pandas over the past 30 years

[https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.2280gb60d](https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.2280gb60d)

## Description of the data and file structure

**Data from: Ecological and anthropogenic drivers of local extinction and colonization of giant pandas over the past 30 years**

Datasets used to identify ecological and anthropogenic drivers of local extinction and colonization of giant pandas over the past 30 years

### Files and variables:

#### File:

**R script**—Script to run spatial generalized additive models in the programming language R

**TP12_5km_ext.csv** — local extinction (loss [1] and persistence [0]), local rarity, local abundance, protected area status, 19 future bioclimatic variables and 10 land use variables during TP1-TP2 at 5 km X 5 km grid cell

**TP12_5km_col.csv** — local coloniz...