United States - car growth outlook 2020-2023

Light vehicle sales in the United States could grow by 12.3 percent between 2022 and 2023. The U.S. auto industry is expected to sell about 15.5 million vehicles in a scenario that is based on data available through October 2023. Auto demand is expected to rebound U.S. light vehicle demand started to bounce back in 2021, but the automotive semiconductor shortage is expected to lead to production cuts and lower sales. In 2021, motorists in the U.S. bought some 15 million new automobiles and light trucks, up from around 14.5 million units in 2020. The industry experienced record sales between 2015 and 2018 when new light vehicle sales in the U.S. exceeded 17 million units. Consumer confidence matters Light vehicle demand picked up steam in the second half of 2020 after experiencing a sharp slump between March and May. The market defied predictions according to which new motor vehicle owners would not add new vehicles soon to the cars and light trucks already in their driveways. In 2022, the average price of a new light vehicle came to roughly 46,300 U.S. dollars. Consumers are typically less willing to make such a large investment when the economy slows down. In 2022, some 79.7 percent of new-vehicle buyers use financing schemes. In 2021, the average age of vehicles on U.S. roads was 12.1 years.

美国轻型汽车销售量预计在2022年至2023年间增长12.3%。根据截至2023年10月的数据，美国汽车行业预计将在一种情景下售出约1550万辆汽车。汽车需求预期将反弹。自2021年起，美国轻型汽车需求开始回暖，但汽车半导体短缺预计将导致产量削减和销售下滑。2021年，美国驾驶员购买了约1500万辆新车和轻型货车，较2020年的约1450万辆有所增加。2015年至2018年间，该行业经历了创纪录的销售业绩，当时美国新轻型汽车销量超过1700万辆。消费者信心至关重要。轻型汽车需求在2020年下半年开始加速，此前在3月至5月期间曾急剧下滑。市场逆势而行，与预测的新车车主不会很快将新车添加到他们车道上的汽车和轻型货车的预测相悖。2022年，新轻型汽车的平均价格为约46300美元。当经济放缓时，消费者通常不太愿意进行如此大的投资。2022年，约有79.7%的新车买家采用了融资方案。2021年，美国道路上汽车的平均车龄为12.1年。