Simulated outcome of baseline (no-intervention) epidemics for three R0 values.
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Model parameters for the R0 = 1.5 epidemic were determined as described in the text. The fundamental transmission probability �� was increased to give epidemics with measured R0 values of 1.5, 2.0 and 2.5. The statistics given for each baseline epidemic are means of 40 independent randomly seeded simulation runs (95% confidence intervals for the 40-run means are given in parentheses).
创建时间：
2015-12-02
