Data - Modelling Sectoral Technology and Emissions Pathways to 2035 and Net Zero

Data and charts for figures of CSIRO's 'Modelling Sectoral Technology and Emissions Pathways to 2035 and Net Zero Emissions - Final Report'\n\nTo assist the Australian Government in developing a national net zero emissions by 2050 plan, the parliament requested that the Climate Change Authority undertake a review of the potential technology transition and emissions pathways in six sectors – electricity and energy, industry and resources, transport, land and agriculture, waste, and the built environment.\n\nThe six modelling scenarios analysed in this report were designed by the authority in consultation with CSIRO. The modelling undertaken by CSIRO examined six scenarios reflecting four levels of domestic decarbonisation ambition (A50, A45, A40, A35) with net-zero years ranging from 2050 to 2035, each with a corresponding level of emissions in 2035 as indicated in Table 1. The domestic scenarios were modelled under different global climate ambition settings of 2°C and 1.5°C (G2 and G1.5) to explore the macroeconomic, sectoral and environmental impact for Australia with different combinations of domestic and global ambition. Two additional sensitivity scenarios were modelled to investigate the impact of lower renewable uptake and are implemented as an upper limit (the “+RL” or “+Renewable Limit” scenarios).\nLineage: The work presented in CSIRO's 'Modelling Sectoral Technology and Emissions Pathways to 2035 and Net Zero Emissions - Final Report' technical report has been funded by the Climate Change Authority. The modelling undertaken by the CSIRO, Australia’s national science agency, examined several scenarios. These scenarios were designed by the authority in consultation with CSIRO. A suite of six scenarios is featured in the report. \n\nThe data and charts supporting the report, and made available through this collection, were produced using CSIRO's Global Trade and Environment Model (GTEM), the Land Use Trade-Offs (LUTO) model, and CSIRO and the Climateworks Centre’s Australian TIMES (AusTIMES) model. \n\nAustralia’s emissions (CO2 plus non-CO2) budget for the period reflects (i) the response by Australian sectors to the global CO2 and non-CO2 carbon prices, and (ii) assumptions regarding LULUCF (land use, land-use change and forestry) emissions and carbon removal technologies.\n\nScenarios don’t describe what will happen, or what should happen. Rather, they explore the consequences of a set of possible actions and events in the future. As such, scenarios are not predictions, plans or strategy. Instead, they are reasoned paths or projected possibilities of a path towards net zero for Australia.