University of Reading Empirical Climate Model Version 1.0: Decadal Prediction Experiment

Hindcast data from the University of Reading Empirical Climate Model Version 1.0 (UREAD-ECM1.0): Decadal Prediction Experiment. Each zip file contains ensemble hindcast data for annual mean (Jan-Dec) surface air temperature anomalies covering the period 1960-2014, with start dates every year, generated from the UREAD empirical model. The data is intended as a benchmark model for the decadal prediction experiments. Each hindcast set is generated using a different prediction mode. The `standard’ model configuration data also contains a forecast ensemble covering the period 2016-2025 (with a 2015 launch date). All anomalies are given relative to the mean of 1961-1990. For more information about the model and experimental design see: E. Suckling, et al., An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: A global attribution and regional hindcasts, Climate Dynamics (2016).