Data and code for: Marine mammal and seabird reductions are unlikely to benefit salmon due to indirect ecosystem effects
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This is the data and code repository for the manuscript titled "Marine mammal and seabird reductions are unlikely to benefit salmon due to indirect ecosystem effects" Authors: Dylan G.E. Gomes, Lisa G. Crozier, James J. Ruzicka, David D. Huff, Joshua D. StewartCorresponding author email: dylan.ge.gomes@gmail.com Abstract:Pacific salmon are depleted due to historical and modern impacts, and have failed to recover populations despite extensive management interventions. Predation on salmon by pinnipeds and seabirds has been suggested as a barrier to recovery, leading to calls for predator culls. However, no studies have evaluated the whole-ecosystem impact of removing predators or estimated the combined direct and indirect effects of these culls on salmon. We use an end-to-end ecosystem model to assess the efficacy of culls and other potential interventions. On average, we find that culls have little to no positive effect on salmon across reasonable estimates of uncertainty, due to the indirect food web effects of predator reduction and the relatively low biomass of top predator groups. Instead, more abundant fish predators, northward-expanding competitors, and temperature-sensitive prey have larger effects on salmon. Data_Code_Submission.zip contains data and code to reproduce analyses, etc. See README.txt for more information MonteCarloUncertaintyPartitioningFiles.zip is a large folder that has additional scenario runs used to explore uncertainty partitioning. These files are separated because they take some time to download and are a part of the validation process and not needed to reproduce results. Some users may not want to download all of these.



