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The Redshift of the Cellular State: A Foundational Hypothesis for Re-Characterising Malignant Transformation as a Dynamical Excursion in Cell-State Space

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Zenodo2026-08-09 更新2026-08-13 收录
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Malignant transformation is conventionally described through the enumeration of mutations, altered pathways, or discrete molecular hallmarks. This paper proposes a complementary, dynamical re-description: that malignant transformation may be usefully modelled as a systematic excursion of a cell's high-dimensional internal state away from a normal reference region of cell-state space toward a distinct, dynamically stabilised region associated with malignant phenotypes. We introduce the cellular-state redshift, Rc, a metaphorical (not physical) borrowing from the optical redshift of cosmology, operationally defined as the statistical distance between a cell's instantaneous state vector and an empirically estimated normal reference distribution, together with a companion directional quantity, the drift alignment A(t), that captures the instantaneous velocity component directed toward the malignant region. We formalise the hypothesis mathematically using a driven bistable (double well) stochastic dynamical system, derive its relation to Kramers' escape rate theory, and construct a fully reproducible synthetic instantiation (seed controlled, unit tested, d=8 dimensional) in which Rc, A(t), and a composite index Z are compared against three baseline statistics: a single axis marker, an isotropic Euclidean distance, and an unsupervised first principal component, for the task of predicting, at an early checkpoint, the eventual fate of a simulated cell. We report the results honestly, including instances in which the composite metric does not outperform an oracle like single marker baseline that is, by construction, aligned with the true latent axis of the toy model; we interpret this as a specific, falsifiable boundary condition of the hypothesis rather than as evidence against it. We further report a multi parameter Sobol' global sensitivity analysis of the metric's discriminative advantage, an internally consistent illustrative simulation of a hypothetical "cellular state redirection" intervention, an explicit falsifiability program, and a roadmap for experimental validation using real single cell trajectory data. The framework is presented explicitly as an untested, foundational hypothesis, not as an established biological finding.

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Zenodo
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2026-08-09
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