Prediction Markets of Dosage Form Development for Incrementally Modified Drugs by Pharmaceutical Industryin Thailand (Prediction Market in Google Sheet)

The PM application was proceeded within Google Sheets, involving a total of four trading contract cycles, with eight available dosage forms: sustained release, delayed release, orodispersible tablet, nasal spray, chewable tablet, thin film, transdermal patch, and powder in a sachet. These dosage forms are derived from literature reviews and input from pharmaceutical industry experts and prescribers. To participate, investors can input the number of contracts or shares they intend to purchase for a specific drug form by locking the corresponding cell. The initial share or contract price is determined by an initial pricing formula, which will be adjusted based on market demand in subsequent rounds. The study comprises a total of four rounds, and investors are encouraged to invest until information becomes saturated.