Replication Data for: But Can She Make America Great Again?: Threat, Stability, and Support for Female Candidates in the United States

These files replicate all analyses presented in tables and figures in the manuscript. ABSTRACT: Drawing on the literature on system justification, I argue that the fate of femalecandidates in the U.S. is tied to whether the election is occurring in relatively good or bad times. Using an original experiment embedded in the 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study, I show that exposure to low vs. high threat messages led to higher evaluations of Hillary Clinton. These findings are complimented by a vote choice model that shows that the likelihood of supporting Clinton over Trump was significantly higher when perceived threat (as captured by economic assessments) was lower. A second original experiment better isolates the effects of candidate sex and generalizes these findings beyond the 2016 case. These results highlight the importance of including campaign context in studies of candidate evaluation and suggest that overt sexism is not the only hurdle facing women running for office in the U.S.