Quantifying population size of migrant birds at stopover sites: combining count data with stopover length estimated from stable isotope analysis

1. Regular counts of migrating animals at stopover sites have been used as a measure of site importance at the global scale as well as for monitoring long-term population changes. However, migratory passage can last for several weeks and the turnover rate of individuals is often high, preventing the use of peak counts to estimate the total number of migrants. This estimate can be achieved, however, by combining count data with information on stopover length. 2. Here, we developed a new method to quantify the total number of migrant birds using stopover areas hosting overlapping populations of local (breeding, wintering or resident) and passage individuals of a given species. We illustrate the application of this method by estimating the number of spring migrant dunlins Calidris alpina stopping over at the Tagus estuary (Portugal). We used carbon and nitrogen isotopic signatures in toenails to identify migrants and to estimate their proportion in total counts. We then employed isotopic c...