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The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction: Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia

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NBER2019-06-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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Policymakers can take actions to prevent local conflict before it begins, if such violence can be accurately predicted. We examine the two countries with the richest available sub-national data: Colombia and Indonesia. We assemble two decades of fine-grained violence data by type, alongside hundreds

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2019-06-01
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