Nonlinear gyrokinetic predictions of SPARC burning plasma profiles enabled by surrogate modeling

Multi-channel, nonlinear predictions of core temperature and density profiles are performed for the SPARC tokamak accounting for both kinetic neoclassical and fully nonlinear gyro-kinetic turbulent fluxes. A series of flux-tube, nonlinear, electromagnetic simulations using the CGYRO code with six gyrokinetic species are coupled to a nonlinear optimizer using Gaussian Process regression techniques. The simultaneous evolution of energy sources, including alpha heat, radiation, and energy exchange, coupled with these high fidelity models and techniques, leads to a converged solution in electron temperature, ion temperature and electron density channels with a minimal number of expensive gyrokinetic simulations without compromising accuracy