Giant panda distribution ranges in the Liangshan Mountains

Comprehending the population trend and understanding the distribution range dynamics of species is necessary for global species protection. Recognizing what causes dynamic distribution change is crucial for identifying species’ environmental preferences and formulating protection policies. Here, we studied the rear-edge population of the flagship species, giant pandas (Ailuropoda melanoleuca), to 1) assess their population trend using their distribution patterns, 2) evaluate their distribution dynamics change from the 2nd (1988) to the 3rd (2001) surveys (2–3 Interval) and 3rd to the 4th (2013) survey (3–4 Interval) using a machine learning algorithm (The Extremely Gradient Boosting), and 3) decode model results to identify driver factors in the first known use of SHapley Additive exPlanations. Our results showed that the population trends in Liangshan Mountains were worst in the 2nd survey (k = 1.050), improved by the 3rd survey (k = 0.97), but got worse by the 4th survey (k = 0.996), ..., ,