Rapid Risk Stratification of Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients in the Emergency Department: The Incremental Prognostic Role of Left Atrial Reservoir Strain

Objectives: To determine the prognostic value of positive global left atrial strain (LA-GSA+), measured by two-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography (2D-STE) in a population of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients without atrial fibrillation (AF), in the setting of Emergency Department (ED).

Methods: All consecutive AIS patients with sinus rhythm on ECG and without AF history entered this prospective study. All patients underwent complete blood tests and transthoracic echocardiography implemented with 2D-STE analysis of LA strain parameters within 6-12 hours after symptoms onset. At 6-months follow-up, we evaluated the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality plus cardiovascular re-hospitalizations.

Results: A total of 102 AIS patients (76.4±10.8 yrs, 47% males) were prospectively included. LA-GSA+ was markedly reduced in AIS patients (20.8±7.7%), without any statistically significant difference between the stroke subtypes. At 6-months follow-up, 7 deaths and 27 re-hospitalizations occurred. On multivariate Cox regression analysis, variables independently associated with outcome were: LA-GSA+ (per unit) (HR 0.29, 95% CI 0.19-0.39) and C-reactive protein (CRP) (per 0.1 mg/dl) (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.15-1.75) as continuous variables; statin therapy (HR 0.45, 95%CI 0.28-0.62), and type 2 diabetes (HR 1.65, 95% CI 1.15-2.35) as categorical variables. A LA-GSA+ ≤20.0% predicted the occurrence of the above-mentioned outcome at 6-months follow-up with 94% sensitivity and 81% specificity (AUC=0.84). Interestingly, GSA+ showed a strong inverse correlation with CRP levels (r=-0.86).

Conclusions: A LA-GSA+ ≤20% reflects a more advanced atrial cardiomyopathy and might provide a rapid and reliable prognostic risk stratification of AIS patients without AF history in the setting of ED.