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The Geopolitics of International Trade in Southeast Asia

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NBER2020-11-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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Motivated by the historically tense geopolitical situation in Southeast Asia, we simulate the potential closure of key maritime waterways in the region to predict the impact on trade and welfare. We generate initial (unobstructed) and counterfactual (rerouted) least-cost maritime paths between

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2020-11-01
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