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Evidence on Retrieved Context: How History Matters

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NBER2022-03-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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This paper tests the retrieved context model of Wachter and Kahana (2019) using a long-term panel of economic forecasts by participants in the Livingston Survey. Events in historical time contribute additional explanatory power to a relative time series model. Historical precedents for current

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2022-03-01
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