The Wobbler Resolved: A Simulation-Only Ablation Framework for Disentangling Orbital Jet Wobble from Annihilation-Driven Modulation in Ultra-Bright Cosmic-Ray Sources - Weber

This paper introduces a speculative but mathematically rigorous framework to resolve a recently reported ultra-bright, quasi-periodic cosmic-ray source exhibiting a striking “flashlight wobble.” Two competing mechanisms can plausibly account for the modulation: Orbital jet wobble — relativistic beaming from a jet anchored to a compact object in a binary, periodically deflected by orbital motion. Annihilation-driven modulation — intrinsic luminosity variations powered by antimatter inflows, gated by resonant field-line or magnetospheric alignment. To disentangle these, we present a simulation-only ablation method: mathematically remove one driver, then the other, and compare the residuals. The framework integrates: Relativistic jet geometry and small-angle beaming expansions. Annihilation-luminosity inflow models with chromatic phase structure. A unified forward operator combining both mechanisms. Fourier and phase-closure diagnostics, including a formal identifiability theorem separating achromatic orbital signatures from chromatic annihilation phases. Closed-form limits establishing scaling laws for modulation amplitudes. A toy simulation with ablation experiments, illustrating how orbital spikes and annihilation smooth modulations manifest at distinct frequencies. We conclude with a speculative catalog of plausible body pairs (BH+NS, BH+WD, NS+RD, BH+BH, NS through antimatter streams, AGN outflows, or exotic 5D resonant valves) that could underpin such phenomena. This is explicitly a simulation-only, provisional framework. No observational claim is made. Validation requires multi-energy timing, spectral searches for annihilation lines (e.g., 511 keV), cosmic-ray composition anomalies, and counterpart imaging. We invite the astrophysics community to test, falsify, or refine this framework against forthcoming observations. RJW