Winners and losers from climate change: An analysis of tree growth and survival responses to temperature and precipitation for roughly 150 species across the contiguous U.S.

Changes in temperature and precipitation are already influencing United States (U.S.) forests and that will continue in the future even as we mitigate climate change. Using spatiotemporally matched data for mean annual temperature (MAT) and mean annual precipitation (MAP), we used simulated annealing to estimate critical thresholds for changes in the growth and survival of roughly 150 tree species (153 spp. for growth, 159 spp. for survival) across the conterminous U.S. (CONUS). We found that growth of nearly one third of tree species assessed (44 spp.) decreased with any increase in MAT (42-49 species), whereas fewer responded negatively to projected regional trends in MAP (<20 species each in the east and west). Hypothetical increases in temperature (+1oC, +2oC) increased average annual growth in the Central East and Pacific Northwest and decreased growth over large areas of the Rockies and Southeast, while decadal survival generally decreased with temperature. Average annual growt..., , , # Data from: Winners and losers from climate change: An analysis of tree growth and survival responses to temperature and precipitation for roughly 150 species across the contiguous U.S.

[https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.7h44j103z](https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.7h44j103z)

## Description of the data and file structure

This data was collated in support of the manuscript \"Winners and losers from climate change: An analysis of climate thresholds for tree growth and survival for roughly 150 species across the contiguous United States\"

### Files and variables

#### File: Figure\_S8\_contour\_plots.zip

**Description:** This is Figure S8 which are the contour plots by species (see description of Figure 5 for additional information). This is the same information as in Figure 5, but individually by species.

#### File: All\_Data.zip

**Description:** This zipped folder has all the input data (#1-3 below) and output data (#4-12), for the manuscript.

There are 12 tabular data files in this zippe...