The Predictive Power of the Term Spread and Financial Variables for Economic Activity across Countries
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下载链接：
https://www.nber.org/papers/w32084
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资源简介：
In recent years, there has been renewed interest in the moments of the yield curve (or alternatively, the term spread) as a predictor of future economic activity, defined as either recessions, or industrial production growth. In this paper, we re-examine the evidence for this predictor for the
提供机构：
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间：
2024-01-01
