TrueBeats
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ExtractAlpha's TrueBeats are quantitative predictions of EPS and Revenues for U.S. equities. TrueBeats are more accurate than traditional earnings surprise prediction models because they go beyond using only analyst forecast information. In addition to incorporating estimates from the most timely analysts with the greatest expertise, TrueBeats also incorporates trends in surprises by the company and its peers; and metrics on company earnings management such as guidance and release timing. Components include: ExpertBeat: The quality and timeliness of the forecasts made by sell-side analysts. TrendBeat: Historical earnings and revenue trends for the company in question as well as its peers. ManagementBeat: Variables that capture management behavior, such as management guidance, estimate variance, announcement timing, and company characteristics. Crux Product Identifier: Cx23050




