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Uncertainty Traps

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NBER2014-03-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w19973
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We develop a theory of endogenous uncertainty and business cycles in which short-lived shocks can generate long-lasting recessions. In the model, higher uncertainty about fundamentals discourages investment. Since agents learn from the actions of others, information flows slowly in times of low
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2014-03-01
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