Agricultural Drought Risk Dataset – District-Level Production and Economic Loss Projections (RCP8.5, 2046–2050) for Aydın Province, Türkiye (CliResDairy)

This dataset contains the agricultural drought risk assessment results for Aydın Province, Türkiye, developed under the CLIMAAX project.

This dataset provides district-level projections of agricultural production loss (tons) and economic loss (USD) per crop for Aydın Province, Türkiye, under RCP8.5 (2046–2050). Results are derived from multi-model EURO-CORDEX ensemble yield loss projections combined with historical agricultural production data.

File: yield_loss_district_level_ensemble.xlsx

Yield loss (%) per district (ilçe)

Ensemble median results of members

File: economical_loss_district_level_ensemble.xlsx

Projected production loss (tons)

Projected economic loss (USD)

Results per district and crop

Ensemble median values

File: Plots.zip

Contains district-level maps per crop, including:

Historical yield (kg/ha)

Projected yield loss (%)

Production loss (tons)

Economic loss (USD)

Reproducible Workflow Notebooks

AGRI_DROUGHT_01_Hazard_Assessment.ipynb

AGRI_DROUGHT_02_Risk_Assessment.ipynb

These notebooks contain the complete modelling workflow used to generate the hazard and risk results, including:

FAO-56 evapotranspiration calculation

Daily crop water balance simulation

Ensemble aggregation

District-level spatial aggregation

Production and economic loss estimation