A simple susceptible–infectious–removed epidemic model for smallpox, with birth and death rates based on historical data, produces oscillatory dynamics with remarkably accurate periodicity. Stochastic
This appendix illustrates the process of fitting various parameterisations of the SE1IjR model (M1j) to high-fidelity D1j incidence reports. We mean by parameterisation the decision of categorising mo
The incubation (infectious) period is defined as follows: where is the duration and is the probability that an infected (infectious) individual will have an incubation (infectious) period of days.
