Met Office Blended Probabilistic Forecast – UK Spot Percentiles

This product provides percentile weather forecasts for 7,213 sites (or spots) across the United Kingdom, Ireland and parts of Western Europe. It is produced by the Met Office IMPROVER Blended Probabilistic Forecast system. It is available in NetCDF format. Blended Probabilistic Forecast data is derived from the Met Office's operational NWP (Numerical Weather Prediction) ensembles and nowcasts. To give more reliable predictions, these are then blended and calibrated using the IMPROVER pipeline, and verified using spread–skill and reliability checks. This is 1 of 8 Blended Probabilistic Forecast products published by the Met Office on the Registry of Open Data on AWS. Data is available for the Global and UK domains, as gridded and spot (site-specific), and represented as percentiles ...

本产品可为英国、爱尔兰及西欧部分区域的7213个观测站点提供百分位气象预报。该产品由英国气象局（Met Office）IMPROVER混合概率预报系统研发生成，数据采用NetCDF格式（NetCDF）存储。混合概率预报数据源自英国气象局的业务化数值天气预报（Numerical Weather Prediction，简称NWP）集合预报与临近预报；为提升预报可靠性，需通过IMPROVER流程对上述数据进行融合与校准，并采用离散技能（spread-skill）与可靠性校验方法开展验证。本产品为英国气象局在AWS开放数据注册表（Registry of Open Data on AWS）上发布的8款混合概率预报产品之一，数据覆盖全球与英国区域，包含格点化数据与站点专属数据，并以百分位形式呈现。