A Procedure for Predicting Recessions With Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience
收藏NBER1992-03-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w4014
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This paper examines the forecasting performance of various leading economic indicators and composite indexes since 1988. in particular during the onset of the 1990 recession. The primary focus is on an experimental recession index (tile "XRI"). a composite index which provides probabilistic
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美国国家经济研究局创建时间：
1992-03-01
